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EU KLEMS Project


EU KLEMS Working Paper Series

No. 27

Basu, Susanto, Robert Inklaar and J. Christina Wang (2008) The Value of Risk: Measuring the Service Output of U.S. Commercial Banks, (May 2008)

Abstract

Rather than charging direct fees, banks often charge implicitly for their services via interest spreads. As a result, much of bank output has to be estimated indirectly. In contrast to current statistical practice, dynamic optimizing models of banks argue that compensation for bearing systematic risk is not part of bank output. We apply these models and find that between 1997 and 2007, in the U.S. National Accounts, on average, bank output is overestimated by 21 percent and GDP is overestimated by 0.3 percent. Moreover, compared with current methods, our new estimates imply more plausible estimates of the share of capital in income and the return on fixed capital.

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This project is funded by the European Commission, Research Directorate General as part of the 6th Framework Programme, Priority 8, "Policy Support and Anticipating Scientific and Technological Needs".



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Last changed on: July 7 2008